jurnal penelitian

ANALISIS PENGARUH VARIABEL EKONOMI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1996-2007

 

Encang Kadarisman, Andi Rustandi, Teguh Eka Satria

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

.

ABSTRACT

This research aimed to know how about influence (overseas debt, foreign capital cultivation, domestic capital cultivation, rate of interest, and export) to economic growth in Indonesia period 1996 – 2007, and to know about variation of economic growth in Indonesia during period 1996 – 2007.

Data used in this research was secondary data or yearly data along 12 years. Data were taken from Statistical of Economics and Finance Indonesia (SEFI) BI. Method of Research used was Multiple Regression Linear with analysis appliance: correlation analysis (R), coefficient analysis of determinant (R2), and variation of coefficient analysis, while examination taken is F-test, t-test, autocorrelation test, multicollinearity test, and heteroskedastis test by using calculation of EVIEWS program.

Based on this research to show that 82,31 % of economic growth in Indonesia influenced by (overseas debt, foreign capital cultivation, domestic capital cultivation, rate of interest, and export), while remainder about 17,69% were influence by other factors out of this model.

The influence of (overseas debt and rate of interest) partially is significant on economic growth in Indonesia during period of 1996 – 2007. While variable (foreign capital cultivation, domestic capital cultivation, and export) having an effect on don’t signifikan to economic growth in Indonesia period 1996 – 2007.

variation of economic growth variable data in research year that is period 1996 – 2007 [is] relative stabilize.

Key words : economic growth, import and inflation

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH TINGKAT BUNGA SBI DAN PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO (PDB) TERHADAP PENANAMAN MODAL DALAM NEGERI (PMPN) DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1990 – 2004

 

Encang Kadarisman, Apip Supriadi, Erni Hidayati

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

The complicated of Investation climate is cowshed by the investation it self, it can’t be depend on self. On the other hand how ever the investation is good it will be depend to other many factors, out of investation region such as interest rate of SBI and Gross Domestic Product. Because the factors ore very importance to some one make decision when they do investment and condition of economic growth in this our country.

The aim of this research is to know how about the influence interest rate of SBI and GDP to Domestic investment in Indonesia 1990 – 2004 periods are.

The data of this research used secondary of time series in 1990 – 2004, the released by the annual report of Indonesia Bank (BI) and report of statistic anther Indonesia (BPS) within 1990 – 2004 periods.

Based on analysis and data processing is the used can be concluded they are.

1. Influence of interest rate of SBI to Domestic Investment the result is not significant

2. Influence of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to Domestic Investment the result is significant

3. Influence of interest rate SBI, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to Domestic Investment in Indonesia the result is significant.

 

Keyword: interest rate SBI, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Domestic Investment

 

 

ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENDAPATAN PAJAK HOTEL DI KABUPATEN KUNINGAN PERIODE 2003.I-2006.II.

 

Chandra Budi L.S., Dwi Hastuti L.K., Edy Purnomo

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This Research aim to 1) Knowing the level of influence is amount of tourist visit to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II 2) Knowing the level of influence amount of hotel room dwelling to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II 3) Knowing the level of influence of earnings from amount of sold room to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II 4) Knowing the level of influence amount of tourist visit, amount of hotel room dwelling, and earnings from amount of sold room to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II

In this research, the writer use model of Y = α + β1 log X1 + β2 log X2 + β3 log X3 + e using R2 to know the level of influence of free variable to variable tied to use test of t-statistic test and of F-Statistic.

From result of research, in the reality the level of influence of[is amount of tourist visit, amount of hotel room dwelling and acceptance of hotel of value sell room to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II by together is equal to 39%, while the rest equal to 61% representing influence of other factor. With examination of t-statistic in the reality influence is amount of tourist visit to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II. is not significance, while influence is amount of room dwelling to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II, and influence of acceptance of hotel of value sell room to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II is significance.

Keyword: amount of tourist visit, amount of hotel room dwelling, earnings from amount of sold room, earnings of tax hotel

 

 

ANALISIS FAKTOR PRODUKSI MODAL DAN TENAGA KERJA TERHADAP NILAI PRODUKSI

(Kajian Pada Industri Paving Block di Kecamatan Cisayong Tahun 1994-2005).

 

Dwi Hastuti L.K, Andi Rustandi, Fita Asri Artika

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

The aims of the research are a) to find out the influence of the capital and the workers on the production value at a paving block industry located in Cisayong district in 1994-2005, b) to find elasticity level of production value on the capital and the workers at a paving block industry located in Cisayong district in 1994-2005.

The research method used is descriptive method, and the data used is secondary data (time series), while the tools used to analyse the data are R2-test, t-test, F-test. And for the validity test are autocorrelation-test, heteroscedastic and multicolinierity-test.

The analysis result shows that 1) simultaneously tested i.e. the capital and the workers have a significant influence on the production value of paving block in Cisayong district in 1994-1995, 2) Based on the calculation result it can be concluded that the level of the elasticity of production value on the capital is 0.25 and the variable influence is inelastic, whereas the workers also have inelastic with the elasticity value 0.58 on the production value.

Keyword: capital, workers, production value

 

 

ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PRODUKSI BUDIDAYA IKAN MAS JARING APUNG DI WADUK JATILUHUR

 

Maman R. Kosim, Noneng Masitoh, Hendar Hidayat,

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This research is aimed to find out how far the influence of the expenses, workers and the large of the area are on the production of floating net golden fish farming in Waduk Jatiluhur, located in Jatiluhur district Purwakarta regency.

The data used is secondary data gained from the local fishery department and the respondents belong to golden fish farmers. The analysis method used is validity, reliability , t-test, F-test and Durbin Waston test by means of Eviews.

Based on the analysis and the data gained, the writer can draw conclusions as follows:

                        The influence of the expenses, workers, area on the production is 67,6 % and the rest 32,4 % constitutes the other factors.

                        The elastisity of the expenses on the production is 0,298 %.

                        The elastisity of the workers on the production is 0,450 %.

                        The elastisity of the area on the production is 0,224 %.

 

Keyword: expenses workers, the large of the area, production

 

 

Analisis Komparasi antara Analisis Usaha Tani Padi dengan Analisis Usaha Tani Mendong di Kecamatan Cibeureum Kota Tasikmalaya

 

Asep Yusup H., Noneng Masitoh, Dian Arfiena

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRAK

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui perbedaan produktivitas, biaya produksi dan keuntungan antara usahatani padi dan usahatani mendong.

Dalam penelitian ini penulis menggunakan metode analisis data dengan menggunakan penaksiran selisih rata-rata dengan asumsi ∂1 = ∂2 dan ∂1 ≠ ∂2 untuk menghitung perbedaan produktivitas, biaya produksi dan keuntungan antara usahatani padi dan usahatani mendong.

Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode deskriptif, cara pelaksanaannya yaitu dengan metode survei pada kelompok tani padi dan kelompok tani mendong di Kelurahan Sukajaya, Kelurahan Purbaratu dan Kelurahan Margabakti Kecamatan Cibeureum Kota Tasikmalaya. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini terdiri dari data primer dan data sekunder.

Dari hasil penelitian ternyata produktivitas usahatani mendong lebih tinggi daripada usahatani padi, biaya produksi yang dibutuhkan untuk usahatani mendong lebih rendah daripada usahatani padi dan keuntungan yang diperoleh dari usahatani mendong lebih menguntungkan dibandingkan dengan usahatani padi di Kecamatan Cibeureum Kota Tasikmalaya.

Kata Kunci: produktivitas, biaya produksi, keuntungan

 

 

Analisis Pengaruh Tenaga Kerja Dan Nilai Investasi Terhadap Pembentukan Nilai TambahDi Sektor Industri Kecil

(Kajian Pada Industri Bordir di Kabupaten Tasikmalaya).

 

Jumri, Nanang Rusliana, Ermi Darini

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This research aims to know : (1) The level influence labour result to value added at border indusrial. (2) The level influence investmen valuet to value added at border indusrial. (3) The level influence labour and capital price result to value added at border indusrial.

Research method the used is descriptive method and data the used is data secondary, is while its analyzer is coefficient determinacy (R2), with some test : t-test, F-test, Multicollinear, Autocrrelation test, and Heteroscedasticity test.

Pursuant to use by data processing and writer analysis, can be concluded.

1 Labour to have of positive and relation significance result to value added at the border indusrial sub province Tasikmalaya.

2 Capital price to have of positive and relation significance result to value added at the border indusrial sub province Tasikmalaya.

3 In the test is together ( Simultant) that is labour actually have to have of positive and capital to have of positive and no relation significance result to value added at the border indusrial sub Province Tasikmalaya.

 

Keyword: labour, investment, value added

 

 

Pengaruh Efek Multiplier Dan Kepekaan Pengeluaran Pemerintah Daerah Propinsi Terhadap Variabel Makroekonomi Di Pulau Jawa Periode 1994 – 2006

(Kasus Di Propinsi Dki Jakarta, Jawa Barat, Jawa Tengah, Di Yogyakarta, Jawa Timur)

 

Ade Komaludin, Iis Surgawati, Hani Yuliyanti

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

Abstract

The objective of this research was to know: (a) Influence of GDRP, population number and expenditure of government of year before all to expenditure of government in Java Period of 1994 – 2006, (b) sensitivity level expenditure of government to GDRP, population number and expenditure of government of year before all in Java Period of 1994 – 2006, (c) how multiplier expenditure of government to GDRP in Java period 1994 – 2006.

Data used in this research was times series data of CPS and BI. Method of research used of Linear multiple regretion models with tools of the analysis were; coefficient of determinasi (R2), elasticity analysis and analysis of multiplier, test of F, test of t, test autocorrelation, and test of multicolinearity by using calculation of program of SPSS.

Based on the data analysis, the conclution of the research were :

1. Multiplier expenditure of government to GDRP to entire all Java region are unidirectional.

2. Elasticity expenditure of government to GDRP, population number and expenditure of government of year before all is inelastis with relation direction which are positive

3. GDRP, population number and expenditure of government of year before all have an effect on to expenditure of government in Java period of 1994 – 2006

Keyword : GDRP, population number, expenditure of government.

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH KURS DAN UANG BEREDAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI INDONESIA PADA PERIODE 2001Q1-2006Q1

 

Aso Sukarso, Buhdi Wahyu F, Indri Purnamasari

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

Issues related with inflation rate have becomes interesting topic for economic since a long period ago, because the indicators have a very important role in a country’s recently. Like Indonesia. Inflation rate consiret too high and weak need fluctuation of currency is to steady growth this condition given effect of infestation and growth economic.

This research aimed to know how about influence currency and money supply to inflation in Indonesia at the period of the 2001Q1-2006Q1.

The data used in thesis is descriptive secondary data along five years taken from 2001Q1 and 2006Q1 are quarterly data, data released by Indonesia finance economy of statistic and observation consisting is 21.

The instrument analysis that is used in this research are determinant coefficient test, correlation coefficient test, other test like test Ftest and assumption classic determination like DW test, heteroskedasticity, multikolinearity.

Based on analysis and processing is used it can be conclude the influence currency fluctuation and money supply to inflation can be simultance is 66,3527 % is significance positive and the 33,6473 % taste influence by other factors.

Keyword: kurs, money supply, inflation

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH TINGKAT UPAH, INVESTASI DAN PDRB

TERHADAP PENYERAPAN TENAGA KERJA

(Kajian dalam Sektor Industri Menengah di Jawa Barat

Periode Tahun 1996 – 2006)

 

Jumri, Iis Surgawati, Datih Janiati

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

The objective of this research was to know : (a) influence of wage rate, and invesment GDRP to absorbtion of labour in West Java Period 1996 – 2006, (b) wage rate variation of coefficient level, and invesment of GDRB to absorbtion of labour in West Java Period 1996 – 2006.

Data used in this research was times series data of BPS and BI. Method of Research used model of Linear Multiple Regretion with tools of the analysis were; correlation analysis (R), coefficient of determinasi (R2), and variation analysis, test of F, test of t, Test autocorrelation, and test of multicolinearity by using calculation of program of SPSS.

Based on the data analysis, the core of the research were :

1. Wage rate, invesment and GDRB influence absorbtion to labour in West Java period of year 1996 – 2006

2. Invesment is stable variable in small varians absorbtion of labour in West Java period 1996 – 2006.

Key words : Wage Rate, Investment, GDRB and Absorbtion of Labour in West Java.

 

 

 

ANALISIS KEPEKAAN EKSPOR MIGAS DAN NON MIGAS TERHADAP VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI INDONESIA PERIODE 1994-2005

 

Ade Komaludin, Dwi Hastuti L.K., Pipih Sulistiawati

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

Export is a process of economical and commercial relationship between countries or internationally by selling goods and service aimed to gain profits. In this research, Oil Export and Non Oil Export variables are used as dependent variables while the Macro economy variables affecting them (Gross Domestic Product/PDB, SBI Interest, Customer Price Index/IHK and Exchange Rate) are used as independent variables.

According to the above mentioned, a research has been conducted with a title: “The Comparative Analysis of The Sensitivity of Oil and Non Oil Exports towards Indonesia’s Macro Economy Variables in The Period 1994-2005.” The purpose of the research is to analyze the connection among several macro economy variables (Gross Domestic Product/PDB, SBI Interest, Customer Price Index/IHK and Exchange Rate) on the oil and non oil export demand in Indonesia.

The research method used by the author is descriptive method using econometrics model and tested by some regression analysis means. The statistics calculation uses determination coefficient formulation, t test, F test, autocorrelation test (Durbin-Watson) using the subsidiary calculation means of Eviews 3.0 for Windows.

The result of this study showed that the reality occurred in Indonesia during the research period was that Oil and Non Oil export demand was extremely influenced by several macro economy variables. The result of statistical t test showed that, partially, Gross Domestic Product/PDB, SBI Interest, Customer Price Index/IHK and Exchange Rate was significantly influential towards Oil and Non Oil Export demand in Indonesia. The result of comparative analysis for Oil and Non Oil Export demand concluded the followings: Non Oil Export has better result than Oil Export. However, the mean growth percentage of Non Oil Export tends to be slower compared to that of Oil Export annually, while Oil Export has smaller volume than Non Oil Export, yet the growth percentage of Oil Export is much bigger and relatively constant year by year.

Keyword: Oil Export, Non Oil Export,Gross Domestic Product, SBI Interest, Customer Price Index/IHK, Exchange

 

 

ANALISIS PRODUKTIVITAS, MARJINAL PRODUK, ELASTISITAS PRODUKSI PADA UKM DI KABUPATEN TASIKMALAYA

PERIODE 1998 – 2005

 

Jumri, Andi Rustandi, Aneu Nurkhalifah Arhasy

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

Intention of this research that is : (a) To know the level of productivity of capital and productivity of labour of UKM in Sub-Province of Tasikmalaya Period 1998 – 2005, (b) to know the level of storey;level of marjinal production (labour and capital) at sector of UKM in Sub-Province of Tasikmalaya Period 1998 – 2005 and (c) to know production elasticity (labour and capital) at sector of UKM in Sub-Province of Tasikmalaya Period 1998 – 2005.

Data which utilized in this research is data of observation and also direct interview with DISKOPERINDAG Sub-Province of Tasikmalaya. Method Research the used is Productivity factors of production (labour and capital), Product Marjinal (labour and capital) and also Elasticity production (labour and capital) at Small And Medium Industry Sub-Province sector of Tasikmalaya by using calculation of program of SPSS.

Pursuant to result analyse and data processing which is writer conduct can be pulled by some research results as following :

1. Mean Productivity factors of production (labour and capital) at sector of UKM in Sub- Province of Tasikmalaya period 1998 – 2005 were 1,246 and 9354,5

2. Mean mount production marjinal (labour and capital) at sector of UKM in Sub-Province of Tasikmalaya period 1998 – 2005 each of 6,6705 and 8682,559

3. Elasticity produce at sector of UKM in Sub-Province of Tasikmalaya period 1998 – 2005, for capital is inelastis with negative relation, while for labour is elastic with relation direction which are positive.

Keyword: productivity, labor productivity

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH TIDAK LANGSUNG SEKTOR PARIWISATA

MELALUI PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH (PAD) TERHADAP

TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN DI KABUPATEN CIAMIS

PERIODE 1996 – 2005

 

Asep Yusuf Hanafia, Chandra Budi L.S., Ihsan Kamil Munandar

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

The aims of this research is find out the influence of real income of revenue of local goverment toward unemployment level in Ciamis Residence on 1996 – 2005 period. This is research is case study in departments which is connection in Ciamis Residence. This research using descriptive analysis method with case study approaches, the data is used secondary data which is six variables, they are amount of visitor, amount of staying at hotels, income per capita of regions in arround Ciamis Residence, income of tourism sector, and unemployment level. In this research, to know accepted or not the hypothesis the writer using determination korelation analysis, coefficient regression analysis, and deviation of classic assumption analysis.

The result of this research showing that amount of coefficient determination between revenue of local goverment toward unemployment level is 0,61%, and the result of coefficient regression required ttest 3,562801 > tα 2,62 in level of confidence 95%, and the result of deviation of classic assumption analysis required point DWL 0,879 < DWtest 1,683452 > DWu 1,320. Its mean this research conclusion the real income of region has influence toward unemployment level in Ciamis Residence on 1996 – 2005 period with amount of influence is 61%, and 39% is influence another factor.

Keywords : Amount of visitor, amount of staying at hotel, income of tourism object, income per capita of regions in arround Ciamis Residence, revenue of local goverment tourism sector, and unemployment level.

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH SPREAD, NILAI TUKAR DAN PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO TERHADAP PENYALURAN KREDIT PADA

BANK DEVISA DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2000.III – 2007.I

 

Chandra Budi L.S., Budhi Wahyu F., Diyan Taufiek

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This research aims to know the level of influence and sensitivity (elasticity) spread, exchange rate and gross domestic product on credit channeling at foreign exchange bank in Indonesia during period 2000.III – 2007.I.

Data utilized in this research is quarterly data from year 2000 quarterly III until year 2007 quarterly I. The data obtained from Statistik Ekonomi dan Keuangan Indonesia (SEKI) BI. Method of research used is model of Multiple Regression Linear with analyzer : correlation analysis (R), coefficient determination analysis (R2) and elasticity analysis, while examination taken is F test, t test, normality test, autocorrelation test, multicolinearity test, and heteroscedasticity test by using program of calculation EViews.

From this research result indicate that 81,69% credit channeling of foreign currency in Indonesia be influenced by spread, exchange rate, gross domestic product and gross domestic product previous period while the rest of equal to 18,31% influenced by other factor.

Influence of spread and exchange rate variable on credit channeling of foreign currency in Indonesia during period 2000.III – 2007.I in partial is significant. But for the gross domestic product and gross domestic product of previous period variable in partial influence do not significant on credit channeling of foreign currency in Indonesia during period 2000.III – 2007.I.

Credit channeling elasticity of foreign currency on spread is negative inelasticity. Credit channeling elasticity of foreign currency on exchange rate, gross domestic product and gross domestic product of previous period is positive inelasticity.

Keyword: spread, exchange rate, gross domestic product, credit channeling at foreign exchang

 

 

ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI

PENANAMAN MODAL ASING DI INDONESIA

PRIODE TAHUN 1993-2007

 

Andi Rustandi, Nanamg Rusliana, Encang Kadarisman, Adi Eko Praktiko Nugroho

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This Research aim to to know 1) Level of Invesment influence, Exchange Rate, Economic Growth and Resident Growth to Cultivation [of] Foreign Capital in Indonesia during Priode Year 1993 – 2007 2) storey;level of sensitivity of Cultivation [of] Foreign Capital to Invesment, Exchange Rate, Economic Growth and Resident Growth in Indonesia during Year Period 1993 – 2007.

Method used [by] [is] descriptive method, Data used [by] data of sekunder time series [of] [at] range of time 1993 – 2007 obtained from Indonesia Bank office ( BI) Tasikmalaya and Statistical Center Bureau ( BPS) Tasikmalaya.Alat analysis used [by] in the form of measurement : coefficient determinasi, test the t, test the auto F test and [of] correlation ( Durbin-Watson).

Invesment Influence ( PMDN), Rate And Resident Growth to Cultivation [of] Foreign Capital in Indonesia the Period [is] signifikan, while Economic Growth [of] its influence [do] not signifikan.Penanaman [of] foreign capital in Indonesia during year period 1993-2007 can be influenced by Investasi(Pmdn),Kurs,Growth and Resident Growth [of] equal to 85% while the rest 15% by other;dissimilar variable.

Keyword: Invesment, Exchange Rate, Economic Growth, Resident Growth, Foreign Capital

 

 

ANALISIS KEPEKAAN TABUNGAN TERHADAP TINGKAT SUKU

BUNGA, PDB, DAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DI INDONESIA

PERIODE 1990 – 2006

 

Chandra Budhi L.S, Iis Surgawati, Taufikpermana

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSRTACT

This research aim to know how influence mount interest rate, GDP, and exchange rate of rupiah to saving in Indonesia period 1990 – 2006, and to knowing the level of saving elasticity to interest rate, GDP, and exchange rate of rupiah in Indonesia periode 1990 – 2006.

In research to be executed, writer use the descriptive research that is trouble shooting procedure investigated by depictin /defining circumstance subject/object at somebody, the institute, society, and other, at the time of now pursuant to visible fact or as it is.

Pursuant to inferential calculation result hence that 1) This research result in the reality influence mouth the interest rate, GDP, and exchange rate of rupiah to saving in Indonesia period 1990 – 2006 having influence which significant because with the high interest rate level hence society will be motivated to saving, and with the high earnings of society will be able to cast aside some of its earning to keeping in the form of saving, 2) Result of this research in the reality saving inelastis to interest rate, GDP, and exchange rate of rupiah in Indonesia period 1990 – 2006, with the saving which inelastis to interest rate, GDP, and exchange rate of rupiah to shown that ambition save the Indonesia society but also the existace high interest rate, high earning, and strong exchange rate, but more orienting to creation feel safe and more focused for the purpose of waking up – take care of in the future.

Keyword: interest rate, GDP, exchange rate, saving

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH TENAGA KERJA DAN TINGKAT INFLASI TERHADAP LAJU PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI KABUPATEN TASIKMALAYA PERIODE 1996 – 2005.

 

Asep Yusup Hanapia, Andi Rustandi, Moehammad Pandoe Sabariman

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

The aim of this research is to know : 1) How much the influence of the Labour and Inflation Rates Towards Economic Growth in Tasikmalaya Regency at Period 1996 – 2005. 2) Elasticity of Gross Region Domestic Product in Tasikmalaya Regency at Period 1996 – 2005 towards The Labour and Price Rates.

In this research, the writer used model Y = α + β1 log X1 + β2 X2 + e. With the testing method R2, it’s to know how much the influence, t statistics and F statistics, it’s to know the presence or absence of influence, and elasticity to be able to know elasticity of the economic growth in Tasikmalaya Regency at period 1996-2005 towards independent variable.

The result of the research, it appear the influence of the Labour and Inflation Rates Towards Economic Growth in Tasikmalaya Regency at Period 1996 – 2005 that is 0.59 and resid in influence the other variable. With the t statistics test, the influence of the Labour Towards Economic Growth in Tasikmalaya Regency at Period 1996 – 2005 are significant, but the influence of the Inflation Rates Towards Economic Growth in Tasikmalaya Regency at Period 1996 – 2005 are not significant. With testing F statistics, The Influence of Labour and Inflation Rates Towards Economic Growth in Tasikmalaya Regency at Period 1996 – 2005 are significant. And elasticity of labour and price rates that is 0,63 (Inelastic) and -0,24 (Inelastic)

Keyword: Labour, Inflation Rates, Economic Growth, Gross Region Domestic Product

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH INVESTASI SUMBER DAYA MANUSIA DAN KREDIT INVESTASI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROPINSI JAWA BARAT PERIODE TAHUN 1994-2004.

 

Jumri, Nanang Rusliana, Intan Hindayani

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

Growth of economics represent of one important role in determining to go forward and the reassignment of an area or state, because is in it supported with SDM which with quality. Besides human resource investment, investment credit also give influence to growth of economics, because investment credit expected will give influence and change to earnings as real form of exploiting of credit, so that if an area or state or society accept credit and exploiting it to realize a new capital, hence growth of economics will experience of improvement.

Intention of performing of this research is to know: (1) How influence of human resource investment to growth of West Java province economics period of year 1994-2004; (2) How influence of investment credit to growth of West Java province economics period of year 1994-2004; (3) How influence of human resource investment and investment credit to growth of West Java province economics period of year 1994-2004.

Used by method is writer in this research, is descriptive method because research which is depict situation at fact of present moment in West Java province region, while data which is used in the form of data of secondary which in form of series time at range of time 1994-2004, where the data released by Statistical Body Center of Province West Java. Writer use the following analyzer: (1) Examination of statistical t (2) Examination of statistical F (3) Coefficient of determinacy. Pursuant to result of data analysis and research, writer can conclude as follows

1. How influence of human resource investment to growth of West Java province economics period of year 1994-2004 can know and analyses from its influence equal to 0,3 %.

2. How influence of investment credit to growth of West Java province economics period of year 1994-2004 can know and analyses from its influence equal to 3,4 %.

3. How influence of human resource investment and investment credit to growth of West Java province economics period of year 1994-2004 can know and analyses from its influence equal to 3,6 %.

Keyword: human resource investment, investment credit, growth of economics,

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH NILAI SEKTOR PERTANIAN,

NILAI SEKTOR INDUSTRI DAN NILAI SEKTOR JASA TERHADAP PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH (PAD) KABUPATEN TASIKMALAYA PERIODE TAHUN 1990-2005

 

Asep Yusup Hanapia, Andi Rustandi, Ani Dewi Amisani

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

The objective of this research is : (a) To know Influence assess agricultural sector, industrial sector value and service sector value to earnings of area genuiness ( PAD) Sub-Province of Tasikmalaya period 1990 – 2005, (b) to know elasticity assess agricultural sector, industrial sector value and service sector value to earnings of area genuiness (PAD) Sub-Province of Tasikmalaya period 1990 – 2005.

Data is used in this research data times series which get from Statistic Committed Centre (BPS). Method research is used a Multiple Regression Linier Model which instruments analysis : Correlation Analysis (R), Coefficient Determinacy Analysis (R2), where as examination other which is used f test, t test and Durbin Watson test which used calculation SPSS 11.5 for Windows program.

Pursuant to result analyse and data processing which is writer do, can be pulled by some research results as following

1. Value agricultural sector, industrial sector value and service sector value by together have an effect on to PAD Sub-Province of Tasikmalaya Period 1990 – 2005

2. Elasticity of PAD to agricultural sector value, industrial sector value and service sector value in Sub-Province of Tasikmalaya period 1990 – 2005, for the value of agricultural sector is elastic with positive relation, industrial sector value is inelastic with relation direction which are positive, while service sector value is inelastic with positive relation direction.

Keyword: agricultural sector, industrial sector value, service sector value. earnings of area genuiness ( PAD)

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH LAJU PERTUMBUHAN INVESTASI ASING

LANGSUNG DAN UTANG LUAR NEGERI TERHADAP

LAJU PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

PERIODE TAHUN 1997.I – 2006.IV

 

Ade Komaludin, Dwi Hastuti L.K., Abdul Jalil

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This research aimed to know the influence level of Foreign Direct Investment, Government Foreign Debt and Private Foreign Debt to Accelerate Economic Growth in Indonesia during period of 1997.I – 2006.IV., and also to know sensitivity level (elasticity) Accelerate Economic Growth to Economic Growth in Indonesia during period 1997.I – 2006.IV.

Data utilized in this research is time sequence data or quarterly data during 10 year having the character of secondary. Data obtained from Statistik Ekonomi dan Keuangan Indonesia (SEKI) BI. Method research used is model of Multiple Regression Linear with analyzer: correlation analysis (R), coefficient determination analysis (R2), and elasticity analysis, while examination taken is F test, t Test, autocorrelation Test, multicolinearity Test, and heteroscedasticity Test by using calculation program eviews.

From this research result shown that 47,3007 % accelerating the economic growth in Indonesia being influenced by Foreign Direct Investment, Government Foreign Debt and Private Foreign Debt while the rest 52,6993 % influenced by other factor.

Government Foreign Debt and Private Foreign Debt in Indonesia period 1997.I – 2006.IV. in partial is significant. But for the Foreign Direct Investment variable in partial the influence not significant to value accelerate economic growth in Indonesia period 1997.I – 2006.IV.

Elasticity accelerate economic growth to Foreign Direct Investment, inelastic with relation of direction are positive while Government Foreign Debt and Private Foreign Debt is inelastic with negative relation direction.

Keyword: Foreign Direct Investment, Government Foreign Debtm Private Foreign Debt,Economic Growth

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO, JUMLAH PENDUDUK (PDD), DAN PEMEKARAN KOTA TERHADAP PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH (PAD) DI KABUPATEN CIAMIS PERIODE 1996 – 2005.

 

Ade Komaludin, Iis Surgawati, Yudi Setiadi

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This research aim is to know: 1) influence GDRP, amount of resident and Rising of the town to PAD in Sub-Province of Ciamis during period 1996-2005 2) To know sensitivities PAD to PDRB and amount of resident in Sub-Province of Ciamis during period 1996-2005.

The method of Research used by descriptive method and the data used by secondary data (time series) that is obtained from office of BPS of Sub-Province Ciamis, analyser used by coefficient determinacy (R2), test coefficient of regression is test F and t test, while to test validity of data used (autokorelasi test, multikolinearitas test, hetrokedastis test, and normalitas test) and use elasticity analysis

From research result use test R2, in the reality the level influence of Product Domestic Regional Bruto of is Amount and Rising Town Resident to Original Earnings of Area in Sub-Province Ciamis year period 1996-2005 is equal to 0,95 while the rest that is 0,05 representing influence from the other factor. With the statistical examination F in the reality together showed the Product Domestic Regional Bruto, amount of resident and rising town have an effect on positive to Original Earnings of Area in Sub-Province Ciamis Period 1996-2005. For Domestic Sensitivities of Product Domestic Regional Bruto (PDRB) and amount of resident to Original Earnings of Area in Sub-Province Ciamis year period 1996-2005 were 3,55 (elastic) and 32,05 (elastic).

Keyword: gross domestic regional bruto, PAD

 

 

PENGARUH STOK KAPITAL DAN TENAGA KERJA TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO SEKTORAL DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1980-2005.

 

Encang Kadarisman, Apip Supriadi, Budhi Wahyu Fitri, Santi Fitriyanti

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This research aims is to kow : a). The influence of capital stock and total labour to total GDP in Indonesia during periode of 1980 – 2005. b). The influence of capital stock and sectoral labour to sectoral GDP in Indonesia periode of 1980 – 2005. c). The influence of capital stock and sectoral labour to sectoral GDP in Indonesia periode of 1980 – 2005. d). The level sensitivity of GDP to capital stock and labour (sectoral and total) in Indonesia periode of 1980 – 2005.

The writer uses descriptive method and secondary data (time series), besides tool of analysis is determination coefficient (R2). Variance test (F test), regression coefficient (t test). While, multicolinearity test, autocorrelation test and heteroskedasticity test are used to examine data validity.

Based on the result of test, it gains R2 value as 0,860, it show how big it does to influence of capital stock and total labour to total GDP is 86% and the rest is 14% influenced by another factor.

Meanwhile, for mean of sectoral R2 value as 0,676, it show how big it does to influence of capital stock and sectoral labour to sectoral GDP is 67,6% and the rest is 32,4% influenced by another factor. Mean of total-sectoral R2 value as 0,823, it show how big it does to influence of capital stock and sectoral labour to total GDP is 82,3% and the rest is 17,7% influenced by another factor.

From estimation result have to know that total GDP have the elastic to capital stock and total labour. But for sectoral, elasticity mean of capital stock value as 0,17 and labour value as 0,18, this matter indicate that sectoral GDP have inelasticity to capital stock and sectoral labour. For total – sectoral, elasticity mean of capital stock is 1,85 and labour is 0,94, this matter indicate that total GDP have the elastic to sectoral capital stock, but for sectoral labour have inelasticity.

Keyword: capital stock, total labour,gross domestic product

 

 

ANALISIS FAKTOR FUNDAMENTAL YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENGELUARAN KONSUMSI RUMAH TANGGA DI INDONESIA PERIODE TAHUN 1994 – 2005

 

Ade Komaludin, Apip Supriadi, Eka Suwartika

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

A B S T R A C T

The objective of this research was to know: (a) Influence of fundamental factor (national income, CPI and population number) to consumption of household in Indonesia Period 1994 – 2005, (b) sensitivity level consume household to factor (earnings of national, IHK and residents amount) in Indonesia Period 1994 – 2005.

Data used in this research was times series data of BPS. Method Research used model of Linear Multiple Regretion with tools of the analysis were; correlation analysis (R), coefficient of determinasi (R2), and elasticity analysis, test of F, test of t, Test autocorrelation, and test of multicolinearity by using calculation of program of SPSS.

Based on the data analysis, the cone of the research were :

1. National income, CPI and population number expenditure of consumption in Indonesia period of year 1994 – 2005

2. Elasticity expenditure of household consumption to national income, CPI and population number in Indonesia period 1994 – 2005, for national income and population number is elastic with relation direction which are positive. While for CPI is elastic with relation direction which are positive

Key words : National income, CPI and population number

 

 

ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PDB SEKTOR INDUSTRI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1990 – 2006

 

Dede Zainul Zachra, Apip Supriadi, Agna Sofa Ambari

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

Product Domestic Bruto implication is Product Domestic Bruto which cannot be self-sopporting, equally however the increasing of Product Domestic Bruto will defend on many other factor outside Product Domestic Bruto like Domestic Investment, Foreign Invetsment, Labour and Inflation because factors also influence to go up of Product Domestic Bruto and condition growth of economics in our state. Target of this research is to now how big influence of Domestic Investment, Foreign investment, Labour and Inflation to Product Domestic Bruto Industries sector in Indonesia period 1990-2006.

Research method the used isdescriptive method and data the used is data of secondary (series time) while its analyzer is correlation coeffitient (R ), coeffitient determines (R²),statistical test that is: F-test and for thedeviation test of classic assumption that is: test of autokorelasi, test of heteroskedastis and test of multikolinieritas.

Result of analysis indicates that: if tested by together that is Domestic Investment, Foreign Invesment, Labour and Inflation in the reality has influence which is significant equal to 95,3% to Product Domestic Bruto Industries sector in Indonesia period 1990-2006.

Keyword: domestic investment, foreign investmen, labour, gross domestic product

 

 

ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1996.I – 2006.IV

 

Chandra Budi L.S., Nanang Rusliana, Fajar Wilantara

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This research aimed to know how about foreign capital cultivation, overseas debt, domestic saving and inflation on Economic growth in Indonesia during period of 1996.I – 2006.IV, and to know the sensitivity level (elasticity) of exchange rate of rupiah on exchange rate of rupiah lag time 1 quarterly, inflation, gross domestic product, money supply, rate of interest (SBI), and international reserves in Indonesia during period of the 1996.I – 2006.IV.

Data used in this research was secondary data or quarterly data along eleven years. Data were taken from Statistical of Economics and Finance Indonesia (SEFI) BI. Method of Research used was Multiple Regression Linear with analysis appliance: correlation analysis (R), coefficient analysis of determinant (R2), and elasticity analysis, while examination taken is test F, test t, test autocorrelation, test of multicolinearity, and heteroscedasticity test by using calculation of program of EVIEWS.

Based on this research to show that 83,3623 % of Economic growth in Indonesia influenced by foreign capital cultivation, overseas debt, domestic saving and inflation, while remainder about 16,6377 % were influence by other factors out of this model.

The influence of foreign capital cultivation, and domestic saving partially is significant on Economic growth in Indonesia during period of 1996.I – 2006.IV. But for the variable of overseas debt and inflation the influence is not significant to exchange rate of rupiah in Indonesia during period of 1996.I – 2006.IV.

Economic growth elasticity to cultivation of foreign capital, domestic saving and inflation is have the character of inelastic with the relation direction which are positive. As for economic growth elasticity to overseas debt is have the character of inelastic with the relation direction which are negative.

Keyword : Economic growth, foreign capital cultivation, overseas debt, domestic saving and inflation

 

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH BIAYA PRODUKSI TERHADAP

HASIL PRODUKSI PADI SAWAH

(Kasus di Desa Pasirpanjang Kecamatan Manonjaya Kabupaten Tasikmalaya)

 

Budhi Wahyu Fitri, Nanang Rusliana, Encang Kadarisman, Ivan Widhi Ginanjar

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This Research aim to know 1) How big rice field paddy farmer operating cost him in once (4 months), 2) How big result of rice field paddy farming production in once produce (4 months), 3) How big him influence of production cost to result of rice field paddy farming production in once produce (4 months), 4) How big level sensitivity of production cost to result of rice field paddy production (4 months).

In this research of writer use model of Y = α + β1 X1 + β2 X2 + β3 X3 + β4 X4 + e with method of R2 to know the level of influence, with examination of statistical t and examination of statistical F to know there is not it him influence directly free variable to variable tied.

From result of research, in the reality the level of rice field paddy farmer operating cost in once produce (4 months) in Countryside of Pasirpanjang District of Manonjaya Tasikmalaya Regency is equal to Rp. 1.174.869, while result of rice field paddy farming production in once produce ( 4 months) in Countryside of Pasirpanjang District of Manonjaya Tasikmalaya Regency is equal to Rp. 426.873, from result of research of writer got by entire production cost component do not have an effect on significance to result of production farmer of rice field paddy, elasticity entire/all production cost component to result of farmer production from result of regression got altogether elastic.

Keyword: cost of production, yield of production

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN (IHSG) DAN TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA SERTIFIKAT BANK INDONESIA (SBI)

TERHADAP PENANAMAN MODAL DALAM NEGERI (PMDN)

 

Encang Kadarisman, Dwi Hastuti L. K., ARIES HARMOKO

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This research aim to get clear description about the target and problems which wish to be reached in this research that is : to know the influence of Price Index Share Alliance (IHSG) to the Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN) in the capital market of Jakarta Effect Exchange (BEJ) and to know the influence of Price Index Share Alliance (IHSG) and Rate of Interest Level Certificate Indonesia Bank (SBI) to the Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN).

To obtain the needed data during research, writer use model of multiple regression. Multiple regression used to predict if the rate of interest level of SBI and IHSG the at a time influence Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN) in capital market. The data which is used in this research is data in 2000 quarterly I until 2004 quarterly IV.

Result of the research indicate that there is influence which is significant between Price Index Share Alliance (IHSG) to Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN) in the capital market of Jakarta Effect Exchange (BEJ) with coefficient correlation addition of IHSG equal to 1% hence will result the make-up of PMDN in BEJ equal to Rp. 35.526,99 billion.

There are significant influence between Price Index Share Alliance (IHSG) and Rate of Interest Level Certificate Bank of Indonesia (SBI) to Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN) in the capital market of Jakarta Effect Exchange (BEJ) equal to 75%, while the influence level of other sector outside X equal to 24,1% is influenced by other factor.

Keyword: Cultivation of Domestic Capital, Price Index Share Alliance (IHSG), Rate of Interest Level Certificate Indonesia Bank (SBI), Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN).

 

 

ANALISIS PENDAPATAN DAN DISTRIBUSI PENDAPATAN USAHATANI TANAMAN MENDONG DI KOTA TASIKMALAYA (Studi Kasus di Kecamatan Cibeureum Kota Tasikmalaya).

 

Budhi Wahyu Fitri, Nanang Rusliana, Encang Kadarisman, Yopi Rukmanda

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

This research is aimed at finding out : 1) How much the income of the mendong (rice-like plant used as the raw material for making mat) farm at Cibeureum district of Tasikmalaya city is; 2) How many mendong productions available at Cibeureum disctrict of Tasikmalaya city are; 3) The distribution analysis of the mendong farm income at Cibeureum district of Tasikmalaya city.

The writer uses descriptive method, the way of how to conduct is by means of survey at mendong farmer group at Margabakti sub-district the district of Cibeureum of Tasikmalaya city. The data used in this research consist of primary and secondary data.

From the result, in fact mendong farm income distribution in a large area in terms of the Lorenz curv closer to smooth line, while for the narrow area is slightly far from the smooth line. So the income distribution for the large area is realtively spread more evenly than that of the narrow area.

Keyword: income, distribution of income

 

 

ANALISIS VARIABEL YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENERIMAAN PEMERINTAH (PAJAK) DI INDONESIA

PERIODE 1996 – 2006

 

Aso Sukarso, Nanang Rusliana, Fajar Dwipurnama

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this research is to know how large the influence of international oil price, gross domestic product, and government income (tax) previous period toward government income (tax) in Indonesia in period of 1996 – 2006, and to know which variable among international oil price, gross domestic product, and government income (tax) previous period that have the largest influence toward government income (tax) in Indonesia in period of 1996 – 2006.

Data used in this research is secondary time series data or annually data for 11 years. Data is got from Statistical Economics and Finance Indonesia (SEFI) BI, annually report of BI, and Energy Information Administration. The method of research used is simple and multiple linear regression model with the tools of analysis : correlation analysis (R), and determination coefficient analysis (R2), while examination taken is F test, t test, autocorrelation test, multicolinearity test, and heteroscedastic test with using EViews program calculation.

The result of this research showed that 99,24 % of government income (tax) was influenced by international oil price, gross domestic product, and government income (tax) in previous period, while the rest of 0,76 % was influenced by other factor.

Influence of international oil price, gross domestic product, and government income (tax) in previous period toward government income (tax) in Indonesia in period 1996 – 2006 partially is significant.

Among international oil price, gross domestic product, and government income (tax) in previous period that have the largest influence toward government income (tax) in Indonesia in period 1996 – 2006 was gross domestic product with determination value 0,9849. This means that the influence gross domestic product toward government income (tax) was 98,49 %, while the rest of 1,51 % was the influence from the other factor.

Keyword: international oil price, gross domestic product, government income (tax)

 

 

ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH DI KABUPATEN TASIKMALAYA PERIODE TAHUN 1994-2005

 

Apip Supriadi, Iis Surgawati, Saripudin

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

The aim of this research is to know (1) how big the influence consume local government, GDRP, sum up resident, component original earnings of area previous year, and the regional development to original earnings of area in Regency of Tasikmalaya period of year 1994-2005. (2) how big influence GDRP, consume local government, tax area of previous year and the regional development to tax of area in Regency Tasikmalaya period of year 1994-2005. (3) how big influence GDRP, sum up resident, retribution area of previous year and the regional development to retribution of area in Regency Tasikmalaya period of year 1994-2005. (4) how big the influence consume local government, profit of company area of previous year and the regional development to profit of company of area in Regency Tasikmalaya period of year 1994-2005. (5) how big the influence sum up resident, original earnings of area, total expenditure of local government and regional development to others acceptance of valid area in Regency Tasikmalaya period of year 1994-2005.

Examination done/conducted by simultan with signifikan of level α = 5%. (1 ) Because prob ( F-Statistik) 0.003597 smaller than α ( 5%) becoming H0 in refusing is inferential hence that: consume local government, GDRP, sum up resident, original earnings component previous year area and the regional development to original earnings of area in Regency Tasikmalaya year period 1994- 2005 that is equal to 0,99%. (2) Because prob ( F-Statistik) 0.000104 smaller than α ( 5%) becoming H0 in refusing is inferential hence that: GDRP, consume local government, previous year area tax and the regional development by simultan have an effect on signifikan to area Iease in Regency Tasikmalaya year period 1994-2005 that is equal to 0,95%. (3) Because prob ( F-Statistik) 0.008356 smaller than α ( 5%) becoming H0 in refusing is inferential hence that: GDRP, sum up resident, previous year area retribution and the regional development by simultan have an effect on signifikan to area retribution in Regency Tasikmalaya year period 1994-2005 that is equal to 0,83%. (4) Because prob ( F-Statistik) 0.000010 smaller than α ( 5%) becoming H0 in refusing is inferential hence that: local government consumption, previous year area company profit and the regional development by simultan have an effect on signifikan to area company profit in Regency Tasikmalaya year period 1994-2005 that is equal to 0,96%.(5) Because prob ( F-Statistik) 0.000138 smaller than α ( 5%) becoming H0

in refusing is inferential hence that: resident amount,

 

 

ANALISIS PENGARUH FAKTOR FUNDAMENTAL MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP HARGA UMUM (IHK) DI INDONESIA

PERIODE 1986 – 2005

Apip Supriadi, Nanang Rusliana, Encang Kadarisman,

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

ABSTRACT

The objective of this research is : (a) To know Influence on Fundamental Factor of Macroeconomic on General Price Level

 

(IHK) in Indonesia during of period 1986- 2005, (b) to know the sensitivity level elasticity of general price level (IHK) on fundamental factor of macroeconomic on general level price (IHK) in Indonesia during of period 1986- 2005. Data used in this research was times series data It was Annual Report of Indonesia Bank, Statistical of Economics and Finance Indonesia (SEFI) BI. Method of Research used was Multiple Regression Linear with analysis appliance : correlation analysis (R), coefficient analysis of determinant(R)

1. GDP, Nominal Rate of Interest (SBI), exchange rate, and money supply (M1) have an effect on significan

2. Elasticity, General Price Level (IHK) to GDP, nominal rate of interest (SBI), exchange rate, Crude Oil Price and money supply (M1) in Indonesian during of period 1986 – 2005, for GDP is inelastic with relation which are positive, crude oil price is inelastic with relation direction which are negative, nominal rate of interest is inelastic with negative relation direction, exchange rate is inelastic with relation direction which are positive, while to the money supply (M1) is inelastic with relation direction which are positive.2), and elasticity analysis. while examination taken is test F, test t, test autocorelasion, test of multicolinearity, test normality, test and heteroscedasticity by using calculation of program of EVIEWS.Pursuant to result analysis and data processing which is writer do, can be pulled by some research results as following, while Crude Oil Price not significan on general price level (IHK) in Indonesia during of period 1986 – 2005.

Keyword: macroeconomic fundamental, GDP, Nominal Rate of Interest (SBI), exchange rate, money supply (M1), Crude Oil Price, general price level (IHK)

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